QUOTE(exra2323)
I am not referring to DRM. If you don't like that, too bad - it is the future.
I don't mean to encourage illegal activities, but this simply is not ture.
<rant>
Software companies have been trying DRM forever (it used to simply be called "copy protection".) It has come attached to games since the beginning of time. It has NEVER worked. It is always cracked. Hell, sometimes, the cracks for games come out BEFORE the games do. There are programs for automatically generating cracks for new games. Even phone-home schemes don't work. They never, EVER stop pirates. The better the scheme, the more desire pirates have to break it, if only for the purpose of "sticking it to the man." The only positive thing they do is occasionally stop a couple of the least savvy floppy copiers. Piracy isn't slowed in any real way.
Meanwhile, actual paying users suffer because they can't use what they purchased. The crappy viewing/listening program doesn't support features they need. Maybe they have to diagnose some hardware in the licensed machine and hate calling up Microsoft every time they swap something out. Perhaps the ridiculous Autocad dongle is keeping them from using their printer. I find it humorous that corporations pay millions of dolars to companies like Macrovision for this snake oil that serves only to infuriate their most honest customers.
DRM didn't work the first 10,000,000 times they tried it; forgive me if I'm skeptical about #10,000,001.
The good thing about DRM is that it gives bullheaded media CEOs a warm happy feeling. As an example, many were very reluctant to going to DVD for fear of piracy. The inept CSS encryption and region coding eased their fears. Of course, it was cracked in short order. The scheme can't be changed for the sake of backwards compatibility, and now that DVD is the standard, they can't stop publishing them. The result is that we can use the media we purchase in the manner of our choosing. Movie studios feared VCRs over piracy, but they turned into a whole new revenue stream. DVDs are giving them a chance to sell the same stuff a second time. Everybody wins.
In the end, the thing that decides what formats become standard is convienience. If cost and quality are "good enough", the vast majority of people will choose the format that is most convienient for them. VHS didn't beat Betamax because of some technical quality aspects. It won because a whole movie fit on one tape (apparently Beta had this later, but it was too late by then). CDs didn't beat vinyl because they sounded superior on a reference level system (at the time, it wasn't even that clear). They won because they're easy to use. Getting the most out of vinyl is HARD and expensive. Acceptable sound can be coaxed out of CDs more easily, they don't wear out as quickly and don't require such careful handling. For many people, the quality of DVDs was secondary to their smaller size, no rewinding, etc.
MP3s are winning today because they're convienient. They're easy to get, easy to play and they're supported everywhere. DRM protected formats will ultimately lose because they are less convienient than CDs. People aren't going to go en-masse to pay just as much for something that is lower quality and has more restrictions on use. Ditto for SACD and DVD-A.
I wouldn't be surprised if the half-assed attempts at online sales by record companies are intended to fail as a ploy for more legislation. They might even get away with it. That is, unless somebody comes up with a Better Idea.
</rant>