A quick summary
1
Same CDRs stored at my father's home were all in perfect state while all mine had began to fail, so I posted here and told that the temperature and light exposure were important (the main differences between my father's home and mine). Now, several monthes after mine, all my father's ones are failing too (mostly Mitsui golden dye).
2
One CD burned in 2000, scanned with EAC at full speed in april or may 2002, showed 100% quality, no C2 errors.
I wanted to listen to it in august 2002, but the sound was crackling. EAC would fail at correcting errors in my two drives, the Teac being much better at reading old CDRs than the Memorex. I bought the original (the copy was burned from a library original).
This shows that checking regularly for quality, or keeping a good drive and testing on a bad one is useless, unless you scan all your collection once a month at least.
3
Identical gold and silver CDRs from the same manufacturer and burned the same month on the same burner at the same speed and stored together aged differently. The gold one shows no errors while the silver one has uncorrectable tracks. In fact my 4 gold CDRs are still readable without errors while the about 25 silver ones more than two years old I tested have uncorrectable parts.
4
But... among the dead CDR reports collected at
Afterdawn, there are two gold CDRs clearly described as having decayed without physical damage, while no Tayo Yuden have ever been reported to die (there was a false alert about it, but it turned out to be the drive that was broken when the CDR was tested).
HiSpace Carbon (MPO) that I burned at 24x, showing some C2 errors in Nero CDSpeed when freshly burned (one or two per CD) are failing after one year.
5
Memorex black CDRs (Unknown manufacturer code in CDRidentifier) showing 10s of C2 errors after burning one year ago are reported dead to me by my mother (can't listen to them) who still keep Verbatim and Mitsui from 4 years ago. And my father just had a black Memorex from one year ago skipping in the Yamaha CD Player of the hifi, while most of the Mitsuis from 2 or 3 years ago, though showing uncorrectable errors, are still playable in the hifi (only 2 of about 10 are already unplayable, and they don't skip, they just click).
Conclusion
I think because of 1 that good storage conditions can only delay the dead of CDRs, but it should be compared with CDRs stored in a closed box.
I think because of 3 that gold CDRs last longer than silver CDRs, but not much longer, because of 4.
I think because of 4 and 5, and because Tayo Yuden CDRs show a low error rate (can't find again the C1 scans I'm thinking of, but
these ones are good too), that the initial error rate plays a crucial role.
I think because of 2 that CDRs in perfect state after 4 or 5 years are not necessary much better than some failing after 3 years. They still may die within 6 monthes.